DAL @ PHI – Week 7 2026
DAL
PHI
DAL
AWAY
@
MON 8:15 PM
WEEK 7 · 2026 SEASON
PHI
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: PHI 71%Projected margin: -5.8
PHI
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-5.8
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.070Net EPA / play+0.105
+0.097Offense EPA / play+0.026
+0.167Defense EPA / play-0.079
46.6%Offense success %43.1%
48.9%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: PHI at 71%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
PHI generates 0.026 EPA/play on offense. DAL's defense allows 0.167. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
TEMPO
PHI runs no-huddle on 19% of plays -- a fast tempo that can exploit defensive fatigue.
H2H EDGE
PHI has won 3 of the last 5 meetings against DAL.
Multiple signals align in PHI's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | PHI market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DAL
D.Prescott
QB
313.8SEASON PPR
G.Pickens
WR
291.9SEASON PPR
J.Williams
RB
242.8SEASON PPR
PHI
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Dallas CowboysPASSING
D.Prescott4552 yd · 30 TD · 10 INT
RUSHING
J.Williams1201 yd · 11 TD
M.Davis250 yd · 2 TD
D.Prescott177 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
G.Pickens93 rec · 1429 yd · 9 TD
C.Lamb75 rec · 1077 yd · 3 TD
J.Ferguson82 rec · 600 yd · 8 TD
R.Flournoy40 rec · 475 yd · 4 TD
VS
4,552PASSyds3,224
1,628RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@DALW12 2026 | — | PHI | — |
| PHI@DALW12 2025 | PHI 21, DAL 24 | PHI | L |
| DAL@PHIW1 2025 | DAL 20, PHI 24 | PHI | W |
| DAL@PHIW17 2024 | DAL 7, PHI 41 | PHI | W |
| PHI@DALW10 2024 | PHI 34, DAL 6 | PHI | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSDAL vs PHI
Who is favored in Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles?
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 71% win probability. The margin models project PHI by 5.8. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles play?
Week 7 of the 2026 season, MON 8:15 PM.
Who won the last Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles game?
Dallas Cowboys, 21-24 in Week 12 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Dallas Cowboys or the Philadelphia Eagles?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Philadelphia Eagles: DAL -0.070 against PHI +0.105.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
