SF @ ATL – Week 7 2026
SF
ATL
SF
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 7 · 2026 SEASON
ATL
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: ATL 58%Projected margin: -0.3
ATL
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-0.3
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.018Net EPA / play-0.018
+0.088Offense EPA / play-0.021
+0.070Defense EPA / play-0.004
48.3%Offense success %43.7%
48.5%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
ATL is our early forecast in SF @ ATL (Week 7, 2026). The model assigns 58.3% confidence and projects ATL by 0.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
Split. The model leans this way with less conviction.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | ATL market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
SF
C.McCaffrey
RB
416.6SEASON PPR
B.Purdy
QB
177.4SEASON PPR
J.Jennings
WR
173.3SEASON PPR
ATL
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
San Francisco 49ersPASSING
B.Purdy2167 yd · 20 TD · 10 INT
RUSHING
C.McCaffrey1202 yd · 10 TD
B.Robinson400 yd · 2 TD
B.Purdy147 yd · 3 TD
RECEIVING
C.McCaffrey102 rec · 924 yd · 7 TD
J.Jennings55 rec · 643 yd · 9 TD
G.Kittle57 rec · 628 yd · 7 TD
K.Bourne37 rec · 551 yd · 0 TD
VS
2,167PASSyds1,982
1,749RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL@SFW7 2025 | ATL 10, SF 20 | SF | W |
| SF@ATLW6 2022 | SF 14, ATL 28 | SF | L |
| ATL@SFW15 2021 | ATL 13, SF 31 | SF | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSSF vs ATL
Who is favored in San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons?
Our model takes Atlanta Falcons at 58% win probability. The margin models project ATL by 0.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the San Francisco 49ers and Atlanta Falcons play?
Week 7 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons game?
San Francisco 49ers, 10-20 in Week 7 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the San Francisco 49ers or the Atlanta Falcons?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, San Francisco 49ers: SF +0.018 against ATL -0.018.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
