2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
ATL @ SF – Week 15 2021
ATL
SF
ATL
AWAY
13@31
SF +18
FINAL · WEEK 15
2021 SEASON
SF
HOME
TIER B
PICK: SF
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: SF 57%Projected margin: 3.1
SF
PICK SIDE
-9.5
SPREAD
3.1
PROJ MARGIN
-392
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SF B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SF. Projected margin: 3.1. Actual: 18. Off by 14.9 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 8.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -9.5 | SF market line | |
| MODEL ML | -392 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -380 | Won · +$0.26 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ATL
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
SF
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
46°F
WIND
0 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
ATL
Cordarrelle Patterson
RB
234.6SEASON PPR
Matt Ryan
QB
222.9SEASON PPR
Kyle Pitts
TE
176.6SEASON PPR
SF
Deebo Samuel Sr.
WR
339.0SEASON PPR
Jimmy Garoppolo
QB
227.5SEASON PPR
George Kittle
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL@SFW7 2025 | ATL 10, SF 20 | SF | W |
| SF@ATLW6 2022 | SF 14, ATL 28 | SF | L |
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES