TIER BPICK: TEN
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: TEN 57%Projected margin: -3.5
GAME NARRATIVE
TEN B-tier pick misses. PIT takes it.
MISSED
Model picked TEN but PIT won. Projected margin was 3.5 -- the model overestimated by 9.5 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 5.0 points.
COLD GAME
32°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
TEN
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
PIT
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
TEN7 LISTEDRodger Saffold
G · Shoulder
OUT
Janoris Jenkins
CB · Ankle
OUT
Larrell Murchison
DT · Knee
OUT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS