Seahawks vs Rams – Week 15 2021
SEA
LA
SEA
AWAY
10@20
LA BY 10
FINAL · WEEK 15
2021 SEASON
SoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CA
LA
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Seattle Seahawks 10, Los Angeles Rams 20.
Going in, our model had favored Los Angeles Rams at 60% win probability, and the pick won.
Model confidence: LA 60%Our line: LA -3.2
ODDS
SPREAD
LA -7.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
LA -3.2
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
LA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
60%
TEAM COMPARISON2021 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 15
+0.003Net EPA / play+0.102
+0.031 (14)Offense EPA / play+0.077 (8)
+0.028 (22)Defense EPA / play-0.025 (11)
43.2% (21)Offense success %46.4% (11)
GAME NARRATIVE
LA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked LA. Projected margin: 3.2. Actual: 10. Off by 6.8 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 2.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
SEA
No noteworthy trends
LA
Road Favorite 3-5 ATS (38%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
LA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2021 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Seattle SeahawksPASSING
Russell Wilson3113 yd · 25 TD · 6 INT
RUSHING
Rashaad Penny749 yd · 6 TD
Alex Collins411 yd · 2 TD
Chris Carson232 yd · 3 TD
RECEIVING
Tyler Lockett73 rec · 1175 yd · 8 TD
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA@SEAW16 2025 | LA 37, SEA 38 | LA | L |
| SEA@LAW11 2025 | SEA 19, LA 21 | LA | W |
| SEA@LAW18 2024 | SEA 30, LA 25 | LA | L |
| LA@SEAW9 2024 | LA 26, SEA 20 | LA | W |
| SEA@LAW11 2023 | SEA 16, LA 17 | SEA | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSSEA vs LA
Our model takes Los Angeles Rams at 60% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project LA by 3.2. The market has LA at -7.5.
Los Angeles Rams won, SEA 10, LA 20. Our model had favored Los Angeles Rams at 60% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Los Angeles Rams at -7.5, meaning the book expects Los Angeles Rams to win by 7.5 points.
Sportsbooks have this game at 47.0 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.9, 0.1 below the market.
Week 15 of the 2021 season, TUE 7:00 PM.
Seattle Seahawks, LA 37, SEA 38 in Week 16 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2021 season, Los Angeles Rams: SEA +0.003 against LA +0.102.
