2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PIT @ TEN – Week 7 2020
PIT
TEN
PIT
AWAY
27@24
PIT +3
FINAL · WEEK 7
2020 SEASON
TEN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: TEN
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: TEN 57%Projected margin: 2.1
TEN
PICK SIDE
-1.0
SPREAD
2.1
PROJ MARGIN
-115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
TEN B-tier pick misses. PIT takes it.
MISSED
Model picked TEN but PIT won. Projected margin was 2.1 -- the model overestimated by 5.1 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 4.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.0 | TEN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -114 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PIT
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
TEN
Road Favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
55°F
WIND
3 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
PIT
Ben Roethlisberger
QB
267.2SEASON PPR
JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR
234.1SEASON PPR
Diontae Johnson
WR
223.8SEASON PPR
TEN
Ryan Tannehill
QB
344.4SEASON PPR
Derrick Henry
RB
333.1SEASON PPR
A.J. Brown
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN@PITW9 2023 | TEN 16, PIT 20 | PIT | W |
| TEN@PITW15 2021 | TEN 13, PIT 19 | TEN | L |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES