2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CAR @ NO – Week 7 2020
CAR
NO
CAR
AWAY
24@27
NO +3
FINAL · WEEK 7
2020 SEASON
NO
HOME
TIER A
PICK: NO
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: NO 65%Projected margin: 6.9
NO
PICK SIDE
-7.0
SPREAD
6.9
PROJ MARGIN
-274
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NO A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NO. Projected margin: 6.9. Actual: 3. Off by 3.9 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 4.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.0 | NO market line | |
| MODEL ML | -274 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -317 | Won · +$0.36 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CAR
Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
NO
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
CAR
Teddy Bridgewater
QB
241.2SEASON PPR
Robbie Chosen
WR
224.1SEASON PPR
Curtis Samuel
WR
212.1SEASON PPR
NO
Alvin Kamara
RB
377.8SEASON PPR
Drew Brees
QB
209.5SEASON PPR
Emmanuel Sanders
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR@NOW15 2025 | CAR 17, NO 20 | CAR | L |
| NO@CARW10 2025 | NO 17, CAR 7 | CAR | L |
| NO@CARW9 2024 | NO 22, CAR 23 | NO | L |
| CAR@NOW1 2024 | CAR 10, NO 47 | NO | W |
| CAR@NOW14 2023 | CAR 6, NO 28 | NO | W |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES