2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DET @ ATL – Week 7 2020
DET
ATL
DET
AWAY
23@22
DET +1
FINAL · WEEK 7
2020 SEASON
ATL
HOME
TIER B
PICK: ATL
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: ATL 55%Projected margin: 1.0
ATL
PICK SIDE
-1.0
SPREAD
1.0
PROJ MARGIN
-115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
ATL B-tier pick misses. DET takes it.
MISSED
Model picked ATL but DET won. Projected margin was 1.0 -- the model overestimated by 2.0 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 13 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 2.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.0 | ATL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -113 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DET
Home Underdog 2-4 ATS (33%)
ATL
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
DET
Matthew Stafford
QB
260.6SEASON PPR
Marvin Jones
WR
227.8SEASON PPR
D'Andre Swift
RB
189.8SEASON PPR
ATL
Matt Ryan
QB
282.4SEASON PPR
Calvin Ridley
WR
281.5SEASON PPR
Russell Gage
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL@DETW3 2023 | ATL 6, DET 20 | DET | W |
| DET@ATLW16 2021 | DET 16, ATL 20 | ATL | W |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES