2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
GB @ HOU – Week 7 2020
GB
HOU
GB
AWAY
35@20
GB +15
FINAL · WEEK 7
2020 SEASON
HOU
HOME
TIER B
PICK: GB
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: GB 59%Projected margin: -5.8
GB
PICK SIDE
-2.5
SPREAD
-5.8
PROJ MARGIN
-143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
GB B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked GB. Projected margin: 5.8. Actual: 15. Off by 9.2 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 12.5 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.5 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -140 | Won · +$0.70 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
GB
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Cold Weather 3-2 ATS (60%)Road Favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
HOU
Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
GB
Aaron Rodgers
QB
383.3SEASON PPR
Davante Adams
WR
358.4SEASON PPR
Aaron Jones
RB
258.9SEASON PPR
HOU
Deshaun Watson
QB
369.3SEASON PPR
Brandin Cooks
WR
232.0SEASON PPR
Will Fuller
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU@GBW7 2024 | HOU 22, GB 24 | GB | W |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES