Giants vs Eagles – Week 7 2020
NYG
PHI
NYG
AWAY
21@22
PHI BY 1
FINAL · WEEK 7
2020 SEASON
Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA
PHI
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: New York Giants 21, Philadelphia Eagles 22.
Going in, our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 56% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 2 Giants, 6 Eagles.
Model confidence: PHI 56%Our line: PHI -2.1
ODDS
SPREAD
PHI -5.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
PHI -2.1
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
PHI · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
56%
TEAM COMPARISON2020 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 7
-0.086Net EPA / play-0.107
-0.056 (27)Offense EPA / play-0.089 (30)
+0.031 (16)Defense EPA / play+0.018 (13)
41.6% (27)Offense success %40.6% (30)
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected PHI by 2.1. Actual: 1 points. The model was within 1.1 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 4.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
NYG
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
PHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
70°F
WIND
4 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
PHI
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2020 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@PHIW8 2025 | NYG 20, PHI 38 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW6 2025 | PHI 17, NYG 34 | PHI | L |
| NYG@PHIW18 2024 | NYG 13, PHI 20 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW7 2024 | PHI 28, NYG 3 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW18 2023 | PHI 10, NYG 27 | PHI | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYG vs PHI
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 56% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project PHI by 2.1. The market has PHI at -5.0.
Philadelphia Eagles won, NYG 21, PHI 22. Our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 56% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Philadelphia Eagles at -5.0, meaning the book expects Philadelphia Eagles to win by 5.0 points.
In Week 7, the New York Giants were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Philadelphia Eagles were without 6 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 44.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.4, 1.9 above the market.
Week 7 of the 2020 season, THU 8:20 PM.
Philadelphia Eagles, NYG 20, PHI 38 in Week 8 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2020 season, New York Giants: NYG -0.086 against PHI -0.107.
