Giants vs Eagles – Week 8 2025
NYG
PHI
NYG
AWAY
20@38
PHI BY 18
FINAL · WEEK 8
2025 SEASON
Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA
PHI
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: New York Giants 20, Philadelphia Eagles 38.
Going in, our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 75% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 3 Giants, 6 Eagles.
Model confidence: PHI 75%Our line: PHI -9.1
ODDS
SPREAD
PHI -7.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
PHI -9.1
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
PHI · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 8
-0.075Net EPA / play+0.105
+0.012 (17)Offense EPA / play+0.026 (15)
+0.087 (25)Defense EPA / play-0.079 (8)
42.1% (25)Offense success %43.1% (20)
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PHI. Projected margin: 9.1. Actual: 18. Off by 8.9 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 11.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
NYG
No noteworthy trends
PHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
60°F
WIND
4 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@NYGW6 2025 | PHI 17, NYG 34 | PHI | L |
| NYG@PHIW18 2024 | NYG 13, PHI 20 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW7 2024 | PHI 28, NYG 3 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW18 2023 | PHI 10, NYG 27 | PHI | L |
| NYG@PHIW16 2023 | NYG 25, PHI 33 | PHI | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYG vs PHI
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 75% win probability, a Tier A+ pick. The margin models project PHI by 9.1. The market has PHI at -7.0.
Philadelphia Eagles won, NYG 20, PHI 38. Our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 75% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Philadelphia Eagles at -7.0, meaning the book expects Philadelphia Eagles to win by 7.0 points.
In Week 8, the New York Giants were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Philadelphia Eagles were without 6 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 43.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 45.7, 2.2 above the market.
Week 8 of the 2025 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
New York Giants, PHI 17, NYG 34 in Week 6 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Philadelphia Eagles: NYG -0.075 against PHI +0.105.
