2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
TEN @ IND – Week 8 2025
TEN
IND
TEN
AWAY
14@38
IND +24
FINAL · WEEK 8
2025 SEASON
IND
HOME
TIER S
PICK: IND
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: IND 86%Projected margin: 13.5
IND
PICK SIDE
-15.5
SPREAD
13.5
PROJ MARGIN
-931
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
IND S-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked IND. Projected margin: 13.5. Actual: 24. Off by 10.5 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 8.5 points.
Another data point for the model. S-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -15.5 | IND market line | |
| MODEL ML | -931 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.11 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
TEN
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
IND
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
TEN
C.Ward
QB
186.7SEASON PPR
T.Pollard
RB
185.8SEASON PPR
C.Dike
WR
128.1SEASON PPR
IND
J.Taylor
RB
362.3SEASON PPR
D.Jones
QB
226.4SEASON PPR
M.Pittman
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND@TENW3 2025 | IND 41, TEN 20 | IND | W |
| TEN@INDW16 2024 | TEN 30, IND 38 | IND | W |
| IND@TENW6 2024 | IND 20, TEN 17 | IND | W |
| IND@TENW13 2023 | IND 31, TEN 28 | IND | W |
| TEN@INDW5 2023 | TEN 16, IND 23 | IND | W |
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES