2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
MIN @ LAC – Week 8 2025
MIN
LAC
MIN
AWAY
10@37
LAC +27
FINAL · WEEK 8
2025 SEASON
LAC
HOME
TIER B
PICK: LAC
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: LAC 63%Projected margin: 1.6
LAC
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
1.6
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LAC B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked LAC. Projected margin: 1.6. Actual: 27. Off by 25.4 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 24.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | LAC market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
MIN
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
LAC
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Road Favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
MIN
J.Jefferson
WR
201.5SEASON PPR
J.Addison
WR
135.1SEASON PPR
J.Mason
RB
128.9SEASON PPR
LAC
J.Herbert
QB
286.9SEASON PPR
K.Allen
WR
182.7SEASON PPR
L.McConkey
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC@MINW3 2023 | LAC 28, MIN 24 | MIN | L |
| MIN@LACW10 2021 | MIN 27, LAC 20 | LAC | L |
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES