Giants vs Eagles – Week 9 2026
NYG
PHI
NYG
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 9 · 2026 SEASON
Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA
PHI
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Eagles over the Giants at 62% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: PHI 62%Our line: PHI -4.2
80% range around our line: NYG by 13 to PHI by 22. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the PHI game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
PHI —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
PHI -4.2
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
PHI · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
62%
PHI · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
68%
DIFFERENCE
-6%
| SPORTSBOOK | NYG | PHI | PHI WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +195 | -238 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 9 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.054Net EPA / play-0.196
-0.019 (17)Offense EPA / play-0.127 (30)
+0.036 (22)Defense EPA / play+0.069 (24)
42.1% (20)Offense success %36.2% (31)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
PHI is our early forecast in NYG @ PHI (Week 9, 2026). The model assigns 62% confidence and projects PHI by 4.2. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
The three models split on this game. The majority side is what we publish, and it carries less weight than a unanimous one.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
NYG
I.Likely
TE
85.4 SEASON PPR
M.Nabers
WR
73.9 SEASON PPR
J.Winston
QB
52.4 SEASON PPR
PHI
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
New York GiantsPASSING
J.Winston805 yd · 6 TD · 3 INT
RECEIVING
M.Nabers29 rec · 329 yd · 2 TD
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@PHIW8 2025 | NYG 20, PHI 38 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW6 2025 | PHI 17, NYG 34 | PHI | L |
| NYG@PHIW18 2024 | NYG 13, PHI 20 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW7 2024 | PHI 28, NYG 3 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW18 2023 | PHI 10, NYG 27 | PHI | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYG vs PHI
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 62% win probability. The margin models project PHI by 4.2. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Philadelphia Eagles at 62% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 9 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Philadelphia Eagles, NYG 20, PHI 38 in Week 8 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, New York Giants: NYG -0.054 against PHI -0.196.
