NYG @ PHI – Week 9 2026
NYG
PHI
NYG
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 9 · 2026 SEASON
PHI
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: PHI 74%Projected margin: -7.3
PHI
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-7.3
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.075Net EPA / play+0.105
+0.012Offense EPA / play+0.026
+0.087Defense EPA / play-0.079
42.1%Offense success %43.1%
47.0%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: PHI at 74%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
PHI generates 0.026 EPA/play on offense. NYG's defense allows 0.087. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
TEMPO
PHI runs no-huddle on 19% of plays -- a fast tempo that can exploit defensive fatigue.
H2H EDGE
PHI has won 3 of the last 5 meetings against NYG.
BLOWOUT PROJ
Model projects a 7.3-point margin.
Multiple signals align in PHI's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | PHI market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
NYG
J.Dart
QB
241.6SEASON PPR
W.Robinson
WR
217.9SEASON PPR
T.Tracy
RB
160.8SEASON PPR
PHI
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
New York GiantsPASSING
J.Dart2272 yd · 15 TD · 5 INT
RUSHING
T.Tracy740 yd · 2 TD
J.Dart487 yd · 9 TD
D.Singletary437 yd · 5 TD
RECEIVING
W.Robinson92 rec · 1014 yd · 4 TD
D.Slayton37 rec · 538 yd · 1 TD
T.Johnson45 rec · 528 yd · 5 TD
T.Tracy36 rec · 288 yd · 2 TD
VS
2,272PASSyds3,224
1,664RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@NYGW18 2026 | — | PHI | — |
| NYG@PHIW8 2025 | NYG 20, PHI 38 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW6 2025 | PHI 17, NYG 34 | PHI | L |
| NYG@PHIW18 2024 | NYG 13, PHI 20 | PHI | W |
| PHI@NYGW7 2024 | PHI 28, NYG 3 | PHI | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSNYG vs PHI
Who is favored in New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles?
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 74% win probability. The margin models project PHI by 7.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles play?
Week 9 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles game?
Philadelphia Eagles, 20-38 in Week 8 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the New York Giants or the Philadelphia Eagles?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Philadelphia Eagles: NYG -0.075 against PHI +0.105.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
