Browns vs Saints – Week 9 2026
CLE
NO
CLE
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 9 · 2026 SEASON
Caesars Superdome · New Orleans, LA
NO
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Saints over the Browns at 61% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: NO 61%Our line: NO -3.9
80% range around our line: CLE by 13 to NO by 21. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the NO game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
NO —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
NO -3.9
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
NO · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
61%
NO · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
64%
DIFFERENCE
-3%
| SPORTSBOOK | CLE | NO | NO WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +160 | -192 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 9 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.058Net EPA / play-0.148
-0.080 (26)Offense EPA / play-0.054 (23)
-0.022 (15)Defense EPA / play+0.094 (26)
39.1% (28)Offense success %43.1% (15)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: model favors NO at 61%.
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
NO goes for it on 4th down 34% of the time, among the most aggressive in the NFL.
RED ZONE
NO converts 71% in the red zone vs 50% for CLE. That efficiency gap matters in close games.
DRIVE EFF
NO scores 1.9 points per drive vs 1.2 for CLE. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
Net-positive signal profile for NO. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
NO
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Cleveland BrownsPASSING
D.Watson1010 yd · 7 TD · 2 INT
RECEIVING
D.Boston16 rec · 330 yd · 3 TD
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@NOW11 2024 | CLE 14, NO 35 | NO | W |
| NO@CLEW16 2022 | NO 17, CLE 10 | CLE | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSCLE vs NO
Our model takes New Orleans Saints at 61% win probability. The margin models project NO by 3.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors New Orleans Saints at 61% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 9 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
New Orleans Saints, CLE 14, NO 35 in Week 11 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Cleveland Browns: CLE -0.058 against NO -0.148.
