NO @ CLE – Week 16 2022

CLE B-tier pick misses. NO takes it.

Model picked CLE but NO won. Projected margin was 2.6 -- the model overestimated by 9.6 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 10.0 points.

27 MPH winds and 6°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.