2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
GB @ MIA – Week 16 2022
GB
MIA
GB
AWAY
26@20
GB +6
FINAL · WEEK 16
2022 SEASON
MIA
HOME
TIER B
PICK: GB
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: GB 57%Projected margin: -0.2
GB
PICK SIDE
+3.5
SPREAD
-0.2
PROJ MARGIN
+165
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
GB B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked GB. Projected margin: 0.2. Actual: 6. Off by 5.8 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 9.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +3.5 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | +165 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +163 | Won · +$1.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
GB
No noteworthy trends
MIA
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
45°F
WIND
14 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
GB
Aaron Jones
RB
248.6SEASON PPR
Aaron Rodgers
QB
239.2SEASON PPR
Allen Lazard
WR
174.8SEASON PPR
MIA
Tyreek Hill
WR
341.2SEASON PPR
Jaylen Waddle
WR
259.2SEASON PPR
Tua Tagovailoa
QB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA@GBW13 2024 | MIA 17, GB 30 | GB | W |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES