2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CIN @ NE – Week 16 2022
CIN
NE
CIN
AWAY
22@18
CIN +4
FINAL · WEEK 16
2022 SEASON
NE
HOME
TIER B
PICK: CIN
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: CIN 65%Projected margin: -3.0
CIN
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
-3.0
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CIN B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected CIN by 3.0. Actual: 4 points. The model was within 1.0 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 1.0 points.
COLD GAME
21°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | CIN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -151 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CIN
Road Favorite 6-2 ATS (75%)Divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)
NE
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
21°F
WIND
2 MPH
COLD GAME
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
CIN
Joe Burrow
QB
350.7SEASON PPR
Ja'Marr Chase
WR
242.4SEASON PPR
Joe Mixon
RB
239.5SEASON PPR
NE
Rhamondre Stevenson
RB
249.1SEASON PPR
Jakobi Meyers
WR
182.3SEASON PPR
Mac Jones
QB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE@CINW12 2025 | NE 26, CIN 20 | NE | W |
| NE@CINW1 2024 | NE 16, CIN 10 | CIN | L |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES