2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYG @ MIN – Week 16 2022
NYG
MIN
NYG
AWAY
24@27
MIN +3
FINAL · WEEK 16
2022 SEASON
MIN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: MIN
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: MIN 68%Projected margin: 4.7
MIN
PICK SIDE
-4.5
SPREAD
4.7
PROJ MARGIN
-191
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
MIN B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected MIN by 4.7. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 1.7 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
BAD BEAT
Missed the spread by just 1.5 points -- a bad-beat loss.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.5 | MIN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -191 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -215 | Won · +$0.52 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYG
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
MIN
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
NYG
Daniel Jones
QB
289.0SEASON PPR
Saquon Barkley
RB
284.0SEASON PPR
Richie James
WR
138.5SEASON PPR
MIN
Justin Jefferson
WR
368.7SEASON PPR
Kirk Cousins
QB
291.6SEASON PPR
Dalvin Cook
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN@NYGW16 2025 | MIN 16, NYG 13 | MIN | W |
| MIN@NYGW1 2024 | MIN 28, NYG 6 | NYG | L |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES