Cowboys vs Colts – Week 9 2026
DAL
IND
DAL
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 9 · 2026 SEASON
Lucas Oil Stadium · Indianapolis, IN
IND
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Colts over the Cowboys at 62% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: IND 62%Our line: IND -4.0
80% range around our line: DAL by 13 to IND by 21. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the IND game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
IND —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
IND -4.0
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
IND · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
62%
IND · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
47%
DIFFERENCE
+15%
| SPORTSBOOK | DAL | IND | IND WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -125 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 9 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.066Net EPA / play-0.150
+0.127 (7)Offense EPA / play-0.051 (22)
+0.193 (32)Defense EPA / play+0.099 (27)
47.9% (6)Offense success %42.2% (19)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
IND is our early forecast in DAL @ IND (Week 9, 2026). The model assigns 62% confidence and projects IND by 4.0. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
All three models picked this side. The tier above is a separate read: it reflects how big a margin they project, not how many agreed.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETING
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND@DALW13 2022 | IND 19, DAL 54 | DAL | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSDAL vs IND
Our model takes Indianapolis Colts at 62% win probability. The margin models project IND by 4.0. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Indianapolis Colts at 62% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 9 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Dallas Cowboys, IND 19, DAL 54 in Week 13 of 2022.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Dallas Cowboys: DAL -0.066 against IND -0.150.
