GB @ NE – Week 9 2026
GB
NE
GB
AWAY
@
SUN 4:25 PM
WEEK 9 · 2026 SEASON
NE
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: NE 73%Projected margin: -6.8
NE
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-6.8
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.082Net EPA / play+0.205
+0.115Offense EPA / play+0.158
+0.033Defense EPA / play-0.047
47.7%Offense success %48.4%
44.8%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
NE is our early forecast in GB @ NE (Week 9, 2026). The model assigns 73.1% confidence and projects NE by 6.8. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | NE market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
GB
J.Jacobs
RB
237.1SEASON PPR
J.Love
QB
235.1SEASON PPR
R.Doubs
WR
165.4SEASON PPR
NE
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Green Bay PackersPASSING
J.Love3381 yd · 23 TD · 6 INT
RUSHING
J.Jacobs929 yd · 13 TD
E.Wilson496 yd · 3 TD
J.Love199 yd · 0 TD
RECEIVING
R.Doubs55 rec · 724 yd · 6 TD
C.Watson35 rec · 611 yd · 6 TD
T.Kraft32 rec · 489 yd · 6 TD
M.Golden29 rec · 361 yd · 0 TD
VS
3,381PASSyds4,394
1,624RUSHyds
COMMON QUESTIONSGB vs NE
Who is favored in Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots?
Our model takes New England Patriots at 73% win probability. The margin models project NE by 6.8. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Green Bay Packers and New England Patriots play?
Week 9 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:25 PM.
Who won the last Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots game?
Green Bay Packers, 24-27 in Week 4 of 2022.
Which team has been better, the Green Bay Packers or the New England Patriots?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, New England Patriots: GB +0.082 against NE +0.205.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
