LA @ WAS – Week 9 2026
LA
WAS
LA
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 9 · 2026 SEASON
WAS
HOME
Model confidence: LA 72%Projected margin: -5.2
LA
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-5.2
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.206Net EPA / play-0.137
+0.145Offense EPA / play+0.005
-0.061Defense EPA / play+0.142
51.8%Offense success %45.6%
42.0%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: LA at 72%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
LA generates 0.145 EPA/play on offense. WAS's defense allows 0.142. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
LA goes for it on 4th down 29% of the time -- among the most aggressive in the NFL.
DRIVE EFF
LA scores 2.5 points per drive vs 1.7 for WAS. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
Net-positive signal profile for LA. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | LA market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
LA
P.Nacua
WR
375.0SEASON PPR
M.Stafford
QB
350.4SEASON PPR
K.Williams
RB
263.3SEASON PPR
WAS
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Los Angeles RamsPASSING
M.Stafford4707 yd · 46 TD · 8 INT
RUSHING
K.Williams1252 yd · 10 TD
B.Corum746 yd · 6 TD
P.Nacua105 yd · 1 TD
RECEIVING
P.Nacua129 rec · 1715 yd · 10 TD
D.Adams60 rec · 789 yd · 14 TD
C.Parkinson43 rec · 408 yd · 8 TD
X.Smith18 rec · 303 yd · 0 TD
VS
4,707PASSyds1,695
2,103RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@LAW15 2023 | WAS 20, LA 28 | LA | W |
| LA@WASW5 2020 | LA 30, WAS 10 | LA | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSLA vs WAS
Who is favored in Los Angeles Rams at Washington Commanders?
Our model takes Los Angeles Rams at 72% win probability. The margin models project LA by 5.2. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Los Angeles Rams and Washington Commanders play?
Week 9 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders game?
Los Angeles Rams, 20-28 in Week 15 of 2023.
Which team has been better, the Los Angeles Rams or the Washington Commanders?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Los Angeles Rams: LA +0.206 against WAS -0.137.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
