2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
IND @ DAL – Week 13 2022
IND
DAL
IND
AWAY
19@54
DAL +35
FINAL · WEEK 13
2022 SEASON
DAL
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: DAL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DAL 77%Projected margin: 9.2
DAL
PICK SIDE
-11.0
SPREAD
9.2
PROJ MARGIN
-487
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DAL A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DAL. Projected margin: 9.2. Actual: 35. Off by 25.8 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 24.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -11.0 | DAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -487 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -460 | Won · +$0.21 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
IND
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
DAL
Road Favorite 1-3 ATS (25%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
IND
Michael Pittman
WR
216.5SEASON PPR
Matt Ryan
QB
155.3SEASON PPR
Parris Campbell
WR
149.1SEASON PPR
DAL
CeeDee Lamb
WR
301.6SEASON PPR
Tony Pollard
RB
248.8SEASON PPR
Dak Prescott
QB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES