Titans vs Eagles – Week 13 2022
TEN
PHI
TEN
AWAY
10@35
PHI BY 25
FINAL · WEEK 13
2022 SEASON
Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA
PHI
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Tennessee Titans 10, Philadelphia Eagles 35.
Going in, our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 65% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 3 Titans, 2 Eagles.
Model confidence: PHI 65%Our line: PHI -5.4
ODDS
SPREAD
PHI -5.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
PHI -5.4
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
PHI · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
65%
TEAM COMPARISON2022 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 13
-0.064Net EPA / play+0.172
-0.059 (25)Offense EPA / play+0.107 (3)
+0.004 (18)Defense EPA / play-0.064 (5)
41.1% (22)Offense success %48.3% (3)
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PHI. Projected margin: 5.4. Actual: 25. Off by 19.6 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 20.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
TEN
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
PHI
Road Favorite 2-5 ATS (29%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
60°F
WIND
7 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
PHI
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2022 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Tennessee TitansPASSING
Ryan Tannehill2536 yd · 13 TD · 6 INT
RECEIVING
Robert Woods53 rec · 527 yd · 2 TD
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETING
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@TENW2 2026 | PHI 24, TEN 20 | PHI | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSTEN vs PHI
Our model takes Philadelphia Eagles at 65% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project PHI by 5.4. The market has PHI at -5.0.
Philadelphia Eagles won, TEN 10, PHI 35. Our model had favored Philadelphia Eagles at 65% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Philadelphia Eagles at -5.0, meaning the book expects Philadelphia Eagles to win by 5.0 points.
In Week 13, the Tennessee Titans were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Philadelphia Eagles were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 44.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 47.0, 2.5 above the market.
Week 13 of the 2022 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Philadelphia Eagles, PHI 24, TEN 20 in Week 2 of 2026.
By net EPA per play over the 2022 season, Philadelphia Eagles: TEN -0.064 against PHI +0.172.
