Commanders vs Giants – Week 13 2022
WAS
NYG
WAS
AWAY
20@20
FINAL · WEEK 13
2022 SEASON
MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ
NYG
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Washington Commanders and New York Giants tied, 20-20.
Going in, our model had favored Washington Commanders at 64% win probability, and the pick pushed.
Out or doubtful: 3 Commanders, 3 Giants.
Model confidence: WAS 64%Our line: WAS -4.7
ODDS
SPREAD
WAS -2.5
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
WAS -4.7
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
WAS · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
64%
TEAM COMPARISON2022 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 13
-0.003Net EPA / play-0.016
-0.078 (26)Offense EPA / play+0.030 (9)
-0.075 (4)Defense EPA / play+0.046 (28)
40.4% (28)Offense success %44.9% (14)
GAME NARRATIVE
WAS B-tier pick ends in a tie, a push, not a loss.
PUSH
The game ended in a tie, 20-20. Neither side took it. The pick is graded a push, not a loss.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 2.5 points.
This one ended in a tie, a push. Ties sit out of the win rate; they are not counted as losses.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
WAS
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
NYG
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
40°F
WIND
9 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
WAS
Terry McLaurin
WR
229.0 SEASON PPR
Curtis Samuel
WR
176.3 SEASON PPR
Antonio Gibson
RB
165.9 SEASON PPR
NYG
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2022 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Washington CommandersPASSING
Taylor Heinicke1859 yd · 12 TD · 6 INT
RECEIVING
Terry McLaurin77 rec · 1191 yd · 5 TD
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@WASW5 2026 | NYG 27, WAS 27 | NYG | P |
| WAS@NYGW15 2025 | WAS 29, NYG 21 | WAS | W |
| NYG@WASW1 2025 | NYG 6, WAS 21 | WAS | W |
| WAS@NYGW9 2024 | WAS 27, NYG 22 | WAS | W |
| NYG@WASW2 2024 | NYG 18, WAS 21 | WAS | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSWAS vs NYG
Our model takes Washington Commanders at 64% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project WAS by 4.7. The market has WAS at -2.5.
Washington Commanders and New York Giants tied, WAS 20, NYG 20. Going in, our model favored Washington Commanders at 64% win probability.
The market has Washington Commanders at -2.5, meaning the book expects Washington Commanders to win by 2.5 points.
In Week 13, the Washington Commanders were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful) and the New York Giants were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 40.0 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.4, 6.4 above the market.
Week 13 of the 2022 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
They tied, NYG 27, WAS 27 in Week 5 of 2026.
By net EPA per play over the 2022 season, Washington Commanders: WAS -0.003 against NYG -0.016.
