2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYJ @ MIN – Week 13 2022
NYJ
MIN
NYJ
AWAY
22@27
MIN +5
FINAL · WEEK 13
2022 SEASON
MIN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: MIN
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: MIN 65%Projected margin: 3.4
MIN
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
3.4
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
MIN B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected MIN by 3.4. Actual: 5 points. The model was within 1.6 points of the real margin.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 2.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | MIN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -146 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYJ
Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)
MIN
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
NYJ
Garrett Wilson
WR
215.7SEASON PPR
Tyler Conklin
TE
131.5SEASON PPR
Michael Carter
RB
126.0SEASON PPR
MIN
Justin Jefferson
WR
368.7SEASON PPR
Kirk Cousins
QB
291.6SEASON PPR
Dalvin Cook
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ@MINW5 2024 | NYJ 17, MIN 23 | MIN | W |
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES