2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYJ @ MIN – Week 5 2024
NYJ
MIN
NYJ
AWAY
17@23
MIN +6
FINAL · WEEK 5
2024 SEASON
MIN
HOME
TIER B
PICK: MIN
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: MIN 68%Projected margin: 5.0
MIN
PICK SIDE
-2.5
SPREAD
5.0
PROJ MARGIN
-143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
MIN B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected MIN by 5.0. Actual: 6 points. The model was within 1.0 points of the real margin.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 3.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.5 | MIN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -142 | Won · +$0.70 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYJ
road_favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)Road Favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)
MIN
divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)road_favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)Divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)Road Favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
59°F
WIND
8 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
NYJ
A.Rodgers
QB
256.6SEASON PPR
G.Wilson
WR
251.9SEASON PPR
B.Hall
RB
240.9SEASON PPR
MIN
J.Jefferson
WR
317.5SEASON PPR
S.Darnold
QB
308.0SEASON PPR
A.Jones
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 5
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ@MINW13 2022 | NYJ 22, MIN 27 | MIN | W |
WEEK 5 · OTHER GAMES