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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

DAL

PIT

DAL

AWAY

20@17

DAL +3

FINAL · WEEK 5

2024 SEASON

PIT

HOME

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TEAM COMPARISON

DAL	METRIC	PIT
-0.192	NET EPA/PLAY	-0.030
-0.109	OFF EPA/PLAY	-0.028
+0.083	DEF EPA/PLAY	+0.002
350	POINTS FOR	394
468	POINTS AGAINST	375
61.6%	PASS RATE	52.3%
68.4%	RED ZONE TD%	68.2%
21.1%	4TH DOWN GO%	14.4%

DALANALYTICS →PITANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+2.5		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

44.8

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

DAL

home_underdog 2-5 ATS (29%)

PIT

divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

OUTDOOR

TEMP

67°F

WIND

6 MPH

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

DAL

C.Lamb

WR

263.4PPR

R.Dowdle

RB

197.8PPR

J.Tolbert

WR

152.0PPR

PIT

N.Harris

RB

204.6PPR

R.Wilson

QB

172.8PPR

P.Freiermuth

TE

168.3PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 5

DAL5 LISTED

Brandin Cooks

WR · Knee

OUT

Micah Parsons

DE · Ankle

OUT

Trevon Diggs

CB · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

Marist Liufau

LB · Quadricep

QUESTIONABLE

Caelen Carson

CB · Shoulder

QUESTIONABLE

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
PIT@DALW9 2020	PIT 24, DAL 19

FULL COMPARISON →

DAL ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

PIT ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 5 · OTHER GAMES

ARI@SF

24-23

NYG@SEA

29-20

NO@KC

13-26

NYJ@MIN

17-23

CAR@CHI

10-36

LV@DEN

18-34

CLE@WAS

13-34

← WEEK 5 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

PIT7 LISTED

Alex Highsmith

LB · Groin

OUT

MyCole Pruitt

TE · Knee

OUT

Jaylen Warren

RB · Knee

OUT

Cordarrelle Patterson

RB · Ankle

OUT

Larry Ogunjobi

DT · Groin

QUESTIONABLE

Russell Wilson

QB · Calf

QUESTIONABLE

Jeremiah Moon

LB · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

65.8%

Dak PrescottDAL

TIME TO THROW

2.74s

Dak PrescottDAL

SEPARATION

4.6 yds

KaVontae TurpinDAL

RUSH EFFICIENCY

3.4

Rico DowdleDAL

AGGRESSIVENESS

11.9%

Dak PrescottDAL

AVG YAC

9.0 yds

KaVontae TurpinDAL

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

DAL SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

19.8%

BLITZ RATE

22.6%

MOTION

35.6%

RPO

1.7%

SCREEN

9.9%

NO HUDDLE

7.5%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.2

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

PIT SCHEME RATES

18 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

30.8%

BLITZ RATE

25.5%

MOTION

33.6%

RPO

2.3%

SCREEN

7.6%

NO HUDDLE

18.7%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

PIT ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

22.1%

DROP %

8.2%

PRESSURE %

24.6%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.3

YAC/ATT

1.4

BROKEN TACKLES

37

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

70.0%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

85.5

MISSED TACKLE %

8.9%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

DAL ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

18.8%

DROP %

2.2%

PRESSURE %

20.7%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

1.8

YAC/ATT

1.5

BROKEN TACKLES

16

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

71.6%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

89.8

MISSED TACKLE %

9.0%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

DAL @ PIT – Week 5 2024