2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CLE @ WAS – Week 5 2024
CLE
WAS
CLE
AWAY
13@34
WAS +21
FINAL · WEEK 5
2024 SEASON
WAS
HOME
TIER B
PICK: WAS
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: WAS 63%Projected margin: 1.4
WAS
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
1.4
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
WAS B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked WAS. Projected margin: 1.4. Actual: 21. Off by 19.6 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 18.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | WAS market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -155 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CLE
divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)home_underdog 2-4 ATS (33%)Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)Home Underdog 2-4 ATS (33%)
WAS
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
73°F
WIND
5 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
CLE
J.Jeudy
WR
240.9SEASON PPR
D.Njoku
TE
148.5SEASON PPR
J.Ford
RB
134.0SEASON PPR
WAS
J.Daniels
QB
355.8SEASON PPR
T.McLaurin
WR
267.8SEASON PPR
Z.Ertz
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 5
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@WASW17 2022 | CLE 24, WAS 10 | CLE | W |
| WAS@CLEW3 2020 | WAS 20, CLE 34 | CLE | W |
WEEK 5 · OTHER GAMES