2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYG @ SEA – Week 5 2024
NYG
SEA
NYG
AWAY
29@20
NYG +9
FINAL · WEEK 5
2024 SEASON
SEA
HOME
TIER B
PICK: SEA
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: SEA 69%Projected margin: 5.7
SEA
PICK SIDE
-7.0
SPREAD
5.7
PROJ MARGIN
-274
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick misses. NYG takes it.
MISSED
Model picked SEA but NYG won. Projected margin was 5.7 -- the model overestimated by 14.7 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 16.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.0 | SEA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -274 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -310 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYG
home_underdog 3-6 ATS (33%)divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)Home Underdog 3-6 ATS (33%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
SEA
home_underdog 1-5 ATS (17%)Home Underdog 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
61°F
WIND
3 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
NYG
M.Nabers
WR
273.6SEASON PPR
W.Robinson
WR
182.7SEASON PPR
T.Tracy
RB
182.3SEASON PPR
SEA
G.Smith
QB
266.0SEASON PPR
J.Smith-Njigba
WR
253.0SEASON PPR
D.Metcalf
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 5
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@NYGW4 2023 | SEA 24, NYG 3 | SEA | W |
| NYG@SEAW8 2022 | NYG 13, SEA 27 | SEA | W |
| NYG@SEAW13 2020 | NYG 17, SEA 12 | SEA | L |
WEEK 5 · OTHER GAMES