2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SEA @ NYG – Week 4 2023
SEA
NYG
SEA
AWAY
24@3
SEA +21
FINAL · WEEK 4
2023 SEASON
NYG
HOME
TIER B
PICK: SEA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: SEA 64%Projected margin: -2.7
SEA
PICK SIDE
-2.5
SPREAD
-2.7
PROJ MARGIN
-143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 2.7. Actual: 21. Off by 18.3 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 18.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.5 | SEA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -142 | Won · +$0.70 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SEA
No noteworthy trends
NYG
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
67°F
WIND
8 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
SEA
Geno Smith
QB
227.3SEASON PPR
DK Metcalf
WR
225.4SEASON PPR
Tyler Lockett
WR
202.4SEASON PPR
NYG
Saquon Barkley
RB
223.2SEASON PPR
Darius Slayton
WR
151.0SEASON PPR
Wan'Dale Robinson
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 4
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@SEAW5 2024 | NYG 29, SEA 20 | SEA | L |
| NYG@SEAW8 2022 | NYG 13, SEA 27 | SEA | W |
| NYG@SEAW13 2020 | NYG 17, SEA 12 | SEA | L |
WEEK 4 · OTHER GAMES