Giants vs Seahawks – Week 13 2020
NYG
SEA
NYG
AWAY
17@12
NYG BY 5
FINAL · WEEK 13
2020 SEASON
Lumen Field · Seattle, WA
SEA
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: New York Giants 17, Seattle Seahawks 12.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 61% win probability, and the pick lost.
Out or doubtful: 1 Giants, 3 Seahawks.
Model confidence: SEA 61%Our line: SEA -3.7
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA -11.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -3.7
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
61%
TEAM COMPARISON2020 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 13
-0.086Net EPA / play+0.047
-0.056 (27)Offense EPA / play+0.087 (11)
+0.031 (16)Defense EPA / play+0.040 (17)
41.6% (27)Offense success %48.2% (6)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick misses. NYG takes it.
MISSED
Model picked SEA but NYG won. Projected margin was 3.7, the model overestimated by 8.7 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 16.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
NYG
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
SEA
Road Favorite 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
51°F
WIND
4 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
SEA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2020 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@SEAW5 2024 | NYG 29, SEA 20 | SEA | L |
| SEA@NYGW4 2023 | SEA 24, NYG 3 | SEA | W |
| NYG@SEAW8 2022 | NYG 13, SEA 27 | SEA | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYG vs SEA
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 61% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project SEA by 3.7. The market has SEA at -11.0.
New York Giants won, NYG 17, SEA 12. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 61% win probability, and the pick lost.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at -11.0, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 11.0 points.
In Week 13, the New York Giants were without 1 player (Out or Doubtful) and the Seattle Seahawks were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 48.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.5, 2.0 below the market.
Week 13 of the 2020 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
New York Giants, NYG 29, SEA 20 in Week 5 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2020 season, Seattle Seahawks: NYG -0.086 against SEA +0.047.
