Giants vs Seahawks – Week 8 2022
NYG
SEA
NYG
AWAY
13@27
SEA BY 14
FINAL · WEEK 8
2022 SEASON
Lumen Field · Seattle, WA
SEA
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: New York Giants 13, Seattle Seahawks 27.
Going in, our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 59% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 6 Giants, 2 Seahawks.
Model confidence: SEA 59%Our line: SEA -3.2
ODDS
SPREAD
SEA -3.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
SEA -3.2
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
SEA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
59%
TEAM COMPARISON2022 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 8
-0.016Net EPA / play-0.023
+0.030 (9)Offense EPA / play-0.003 (18)
+0.046 (28)Defense EPA / play+0.020 (25)
44.9% (14)Offense success %44.2% (17)
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 3.2. Actual: 14. Off by 10.8 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 11.0 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
NYG
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
SEA
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
SEA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2022 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@SEAW5 2024 | NYG 29, SEA 20 | SEA | L |
| SEA@NYGW4 2023 | SEA 24, NYG 3 | SEA | W |
| NYG@SEAW13 2020 | NYG 17, SEA 12 | SEA | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSNYG vs SEA
Our model takes Seattle Seahawks at 59% win probability, a Tier C pick. The margin models project SEA by 3.2. The market has SEA at -3.0.
Seattle Seahawks won, NYG 13, SEA 27. Our model had favored Seattle Seahawks at 59% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Seattle Seahawks at -3.0, meaning the book expects Seattle Seahawks to win by 3.0 points.
In Week 8, the New York Giants were without 6 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Seattle Seahawks were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 44.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.3, 1.8 above the market.
Week 8 of the 2022 season, SUN 4:25 PM.
New York Giants, NYG 29, SEA 20 in Week 5 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2022 season, New York Giants: NYG -0.016 against SEA -0.023.
