2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
MIA @ DET – Week 8 2022
MIA
DET
MIA
AWAY
31@27
MIA +4
FINAL · WEEK 8
2022 SEASON
DET
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: MIA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: MIA 71%Projected margin: -7.1
MIA
PICK SIDE
-3.5
SPREAD
-7.1
PROJ MARGIN
-165
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
MIA A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked MIA. Projected margin: 7.1. Actual: 4. Off by 3.1 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 0.5 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.5 | MIA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -165 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -190 | Won · +$0.61 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
MIA
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
DET
Divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)Home Underdog 4-1 ATS (80%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
MIA
Tyreek Hill
WR
341.2SEASON PPR
Jaylen Waddle
WR
259.2SEASON PPR
Tua Tagovailoa
QB
230.9SEASON PPR
DET
Jared Goff
QB
284.3SEASON PPR
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR
267.6SEASON PPR
Jamaal Williams
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 8
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES