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MIA @ BUF · Week 4 2023 · NoPunt
2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
MIA @ BUF – Week 4 2023
MIA
BUF
MIA
AWAY
20
@
48
BUF +28
FINAL · WEEK 4
2023 SEASON
BUF
HOME
PRO PICK
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BETTING LINE
FIELD
VALUE
NOTES
SPREAD
+2.5
Market line
LIVE ML
—
Last observed market ML
GAME TOTAL
PREDICTED TOTAL
46.5
ALL GAME TOTALS →
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
70°F
WIND
2 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
BUF
MIA
KICKOFF
INJURY REPORT
WEEK 4
MIA
5 LISTED
Jaelan Phillips
LB · Oblique
OUT
Terron Armstead
T · back, ankle, knee
QUESTIONABLE
DeShon Elliott
S · Ankle
QUESTIONABLE
Connor Williams
C · Groin
QUESTIONABLE
Salvon Ahmed
RB · Groin
QUESTIONABLE
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
LAST 5 MEETINGS
GAME
SCORE
BUF
@
MIA
W10 2025
BUF 13, MIA 30
MIA
@
BUF
W3 2025
MIA 21, BUF 31
MIA
@
BUF
W9 2024
MIA 27, BUF 30
BUF
@
MIA
W2 2024
BUF 31, MIA 10
BUF
@
MIA
W18 2023
BUF 21, MIA 14
FULL COMPARISON →
MIA ANALYTICS
EPA, coaching, picks
BUF ANALYTICS
EPA, coaching, picks
VS
COMPARE
WEEK 4 · OTHER GAMES
WAS
@
PHI
31-34
NE
@
DAL
3-38
LV
@
LAC
17-24
ATL
@
JAX
7-23
SEA
@
NYG
24-3
DEN
@
CHI
31-28
MIN
@
CAR
21-13
← WEEK 4 PICKS
FULL RESULTS LEDGER →
BUF 100%
HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR
BUF
1 LISTED
Jordan Poyer
S · Knee
OUT
PIT
@
HOU
6-30
CIN
@
TEN
3-27
TB
@
NO
26-9
LA
@
IND
29-23
DET
@
GB
34-20
BAL
@
CLE
28-3
ARI
@
SF
16-35
KC
@
NYJ
23-20
BUF SCHEME RATES
19 GAMES
PLAY ACTION
22.5%
BLITZ RATE
26.1%
MOTION
34.4%
RPO
7.0%
SCREEN
8.7%
NO HUDDLE
10.4%
AVG PASS RUSHERS
4.3
SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2023 SEASON
MIA SCHEME RATES
18 GAMES
PLAY ACTION
26.3%
BLITZ RATE
19.1%
MOTION
63.3%
RPO
3.4%
SCREEN
14.6%
NO HUDDLE
3.3%
AVG PASS RUSHERS
4.1
SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2023 SEASON
MIA ADVANCED STATS
PASSING
BAD THROW %
10.4%
DROP %
2.8%
PRESSURE %
11.9%
RUSHING
YBC/ATT
2.4
YAC/ATT
1.6
BROKEN TACKLES
36
DEFENSE
COMP% ALLOWED
70.6%
PASSER RTG ALLOWED
87.5
MISSED TACKLE %
11.2%
SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2023 SEASON
NEXT GEN STATS
EXP COMP %
70.7%
Tua Tagovailoa
MIA
TIME TO THROW
2.46s
Tua Tagovailoa
MIA
SEPARATION
3.8 yds
Jaylen Waddle
MIA
RUSH EFFICIENCY
4.7
James Cook
BUF
AGGRESSIVENESS
8.0%
Josh Allen
BUF
AVG YAC
7.7 yds
Stefon Diggs
BUF
GREEN
= ELITE VS LEAGUE
SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS
BUF ADVANCED STATS
PASSING
BAD THROW %
12.9%
DROP %
6.9%
PRESSURE %
17.9%
RUSHING
YBC/ATT
2.2
YAC/ATT
1.5
BROKEN TACKLES
22
DEFENSE
COMP% ALLOWED
70.4%
PASSER RTG ALLOWED
85.4
MISSED TACKLE %
11.5%
SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2023 SEASON