2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
PIT @ DAL – Week 9 2020
PIT
DAL
PIT
AWAY
24@19
PIT +5
FINAL · WEEK 9
2020 SEASON
DAL
HOME
TIER B
PICK: PIT
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: PIT 64%Projected margin: -7.0
PIT
PICK SIDE
-14.0
SPREAD
-7.0
PROJ MARGIN
-750
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PIT B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected PIT by 7.0. Actual: 5 points. The model was within 2.0 points of the real margin.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 9.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -14.0 | PIT market line | |
| MODEL ML | -750 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -789 | Won · +$0.13 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
PIT
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
DAL
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
PIT
Ben Roethlisberger
QB
267.2SEASON PPR
JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR
234.1SEASON PPR
Diontae Johnson
WR
223.8SEASON PPR
DAL
Amari Cooper
WR
236.8SEASON PPR
Ezekiel Elliott
RB
223.7SEASON PPR
CeeDee Lamb
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@PITW5 2024 | DAL 20, PIT 17 | PIT | L |
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES