2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
BAL @ IND – Week 9 2020
BAL
IND
BAL
AWAY
24@10
BAL +14
FINAL · WEEK 9
2020 SEASON
IND
HOME
TIER C
PICK: BAL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: BAL 55%Projected margin: -2.3
BAL
PICK SIDE
+1.0
SPREAD
-2.3
PROJ MARGIN
+115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
BAL C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked BAL. Projected margin: 2.3. Actual: 14. Off by 11.7 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 15.0 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +1.0 | BAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | +115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -106 | Won · +$1.15 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
BAL
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
IND
Road Favorite 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
BAL
Lamar Jackson
QB
332.8SEASON PPR
Marquise Brown
WR
183.0SEASON PPR
Mark Andrews
TE
170.1SEASON PPR
IND
Jonathan Taylor
RB
252.8SEASON PPR
Philip Rivers
QB
240.0SEASON PPR
Nyheim Hines
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND@BALW3 2023 | IND 22, BAL 19 | BAL | L |
| IND@BALW5 2021 | IND 25, BAL 31 | BAL | W |
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES