TIER CPICK: TB
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: TB 53%Projected margin: 0.2
GAME NARRATIVE
TB C-tier pick misses. NO takes it.
MISSED
Model picked TB but NO won. Projected margin was 0.2 -- the model overestimated by 35.2 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 38.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
HIGH WIND
17 MPH winds at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NO
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
NO1 LISTED
TB2 LISTEDHEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS