TIER BPICK: WAS
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: WAS 55%Projected margin: 0.2
GAME NARRATIVE
WAS B-tier pick misses. NYG takes it.
MISSED
Model picked WAS but NYG won. Projected margin was 0.2 -- the model overestimated by 3.2 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 6.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYG
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
WAS
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 4-2 ATS (67%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
NYG2 LISTEDDevonta Freeman
RB · Ankle
OUT
WAS2 LISTEDDontrelle Inman
WR · Hamstring
DOUBTFUL
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS