2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DEN @ ATL – Week 9 2020
DEN
ATL
DEN
AWAY
27@34
ATL +7
FINAL · WEEK 9
2020 SEASON
ATL
HOME
TIER C
PICK: ATL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: ATL 50%Projected margin: -0.1
ATL
PICK SIDE
-4.5
SPREAD
-0.1
PROJ MARGIN
-191
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
ATL C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked ATL. Projected margin: 0.1. Actual: 7. Off by 7.1 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 2.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.5 | ATL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -191 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -218 | Won · +$0.52 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DEN
No noteworthy trends
ATL
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
DEN
Melvin Gordon
RB
198.4SEASON PPR
Drew Lock
QB
181.3SEASON PPR
Tim Patrick
WR
161.2SEASON PPR
ATL
Matt Ryan
QB
282.4SEASON PPR
Calvin Ridley
WR
281.5SEASON PPR
Russell Gage
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL@DENW11 2024 | ATL 6, DEN 38 | ATL | L |
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES