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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

ATL

DEN

ATL

AWAY

6@38

DEN +32

FINAL · WEEK 11

2024 SEASON

DEN

HOME

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TEAM COMPARISON

ATL	METRIC	DEN
-0.027	NET EPA/PLAY	+0.105
+0.034	OFF EPA/PLAY	+0.015
+0.061	DEF EPA/PLAY	-0.091
389	POINTS FOR	432
423	POINTS AGAINST	342
54.9%	PASS RATE	57.3%
79.0%	RED ZONE TD%	73.1%
26.7%	4TH DOWN GO%	18.1%

ATLANALYTICS →DENANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+2.0		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

44.9

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

ATL

No noteworthy trends

DEN

divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

OUTDOOR

TEMP

55°F

WIND

9 MPH

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

ATL

B.Robinson

RB

341.7PPR

D.London

WR

280.8PPR

D.Mooney

WR

193.2PPR

DEN

B.Nix

QB

317.2PPR

C.Sutton

WR

240.3PPR

J.Williams

RB

157.9PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 11

ATL10 LISTED

J.D. Bertrand

LB · Concussion

OUT

Troy Andersen

LB · Knee

OUT

Antonio Hamilton

CB · Pectoral

OUT

Mike Hughes

CB · Neck

OUT

James Smith-Williams

DE · Tibia

OUT

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
DEN@ATLW9 2020	DEN 27, ATL 34

FULL COMPARISON →

ATL ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

DEN ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 11 · OTHER GAMES

SEA@SF

20-17

LV@MIA

19-34

WAS@PHI

18-26

CLE@NO

14-35

KC@BUF

21-30

BAL@PIT

16-18

LA@NE

28-22

← WEEK 11 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

Charlie Woerner

TE · Concussion

OUT

Ta'Quon Graham

DE · Pectoral

OUT

Dee Alford

CB · Hamstring

OUT

Lorenzo Carter

LB · Concussion

QUESTIONABLE

Drew Dalman

C · Ankle

QUESTIONABLE

DEN4 LISTED

Josh Reynolds

WR · Hand

OUT

Delarrin Turner-Yell

S · Knee

OUT

Drew Sanders

LB · Achilles

OUT

Brandon Jones

S · Abdomen

QUESTIONABLE

DEN SCHEME RATES

18 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

30.5%

BLITZ RATE

29.9%

MOTION

27.7%

RPO

3.8%

SCREEN

13.5%

NO HUDDLE

11.6%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

ATL SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

15.7%

BLITZ RATE

24.6%

MOTION

50.8%

RPO

1.7%

SCREEN

9.6%

NO HUDDLE

12.3%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.1

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

74.8%

Bo NixDEN

TIME TO THROW

2.55s

Kirk CousinsATL

SEPARATION

4.6 yds

Ray-Ray McCloudATL

RUSH EFFICIENCY

4.5

Bijan RobinsonATL

AGGRESSIVENESS

25.9%

Kirk CousinsATL

AVG YAC

5.3 yds

Ray-Ray McCloudATL

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

ATL ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

13.6%

DROP %

3.4%

PRESSURE %

23.9%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.2

YAC/ATT

2.0

BROKEN TACKLES

30

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

74.3%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

89.7

MISSED TACKLE %

13.1%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

DEN ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

13.1%

DROP %

4.9%

PRESSURE %

13.2%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.2

YAC/ATT

1.7

BROKEN TACKLES

21

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

65.7%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

82.8

MISSED TACKLE %

6.8%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

ATL @ DEN – Week 11 2024