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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

MIA

AWAY

19@34

MIA +15

FINAL · WEEK 11

2024 SEASON

MIA

HOME

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THE PICK FOR THIS GAME IS LOCKED

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TEAM COMPARISON

LV	METRIC	MIA
-0.164	NET EPA/PLAY	-0.017
-0.143	OFF EPA/PLAY	-0.039
+0.021	DEF EPA/PLAY	-0.022
309	POINTS FOR	345
434	POINTS AGAINST	364
64.8%	PASS RATE	59.0%
66.7%	RED ZONE TD%	81.0%
19.4%	4TH DOWN GO%	24.8%

LVANALYTICS →MIAANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	+8.0		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

44.5

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

LV

divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)

MIA

No noteworthy trends

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

OUTDOOR

TEMP

80°F

WIND

16 MPH

WINDY

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

LV

B.Bowers

TE

262.7PPR

J.Meyers

WR

218.0PPR

A.Mattison

RB

137.4PPR

MIA

D.Achane

RB

299.9PPR

J.Smith

TE

222.3PPR

T.Hill

WR

218.2PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 11

LV5 LISTED

Cody Whitehair

G · Ankle

OUT

Andre James

C · Ankle

OUT

Harrison Bryant

TE · Ankle

OUT

Nate Hobbs

CB · Ankle

OUT

Michael Mayer

TE · Not injury related - personal matter

QUESTIONABLE

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
LV@MIAW11 2023	LV 13, MIA 20
MIA@LVW3 2021	MIA 28, LV 31
MIA@LVW16 2020	MIA 26, LV 25

FULL COMPARISON →

LV ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

MIA ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 11 · OTHER GAMES

SEA@SF

20-17

WAS@PHI

18-26

CLE@NO

14-35

KC@BUF

21-30

BAL@PIT

16-18

LA@NE

28-22

MIN@TEN

23-13

← WEEK 11 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

MIA6 LISTED

Kendall Fuller

CB · Concussion

OUT

Terron Armstead

T · Not injury related - resting player

QUESTIONABLE

Isaiah Wynn

G · Quadricep

QUESTIONABLE

Alec Ingold

FB · Calf

QUESTIONABLE

Robert Jones

G · Knee

QUESTIONABLE

Patrick McMorris

S · Calf

QUESTIONABLE

MIA SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

26.8%

BLITZ RATE

18.4%

MOTION

61.9%

RPO

1.5%

SCREEN

14.7%

NO HUDDLE

5.2%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.2

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

73.9%

Tua TagovailoaMIA

TIME TO THROW

2.40s

Tua TagovailoaMIA

SEPARATION

4.1 yds

Jonnu SmithMIA

RUSH EFFICIENCY

4.1

De'Von AchaneMIA

AGGRESSIVENESS

11.6%

Gardner MinshewLV

AVG YAC

10.0 yds

Jonnu SmithMIA

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

LV SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

22.0%

BLITZ RATE

28.7%

MOTION

43.1%

RPO

2.2%

SCREEN

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

MIA ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

13.6%

DROP %

4.9%

PRESSURE %

19.0%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.3

YAC/ATT

1.3

BROKEN TACKLES

13

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

62.9%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

82.7

MISSED TACKLE %

10.0%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

LV ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

16.8%

DROP %

2.5%

PRESSURE %

24.2%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.1

YAC/ATT

1.6

BROKEN TACKLES

22

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

70.4%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

89.1

MISSED TACKLE %

12.6%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

LV @ MIA – Week 11 2024