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2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026

HOU

DAL

HOU

AWAY

34@10

HOU +24

FINAL · WEEK 11

2024 SEASON

DAL

HOME

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TEAM COMPARISON

HOU	METRIC	DAL
+0.037	NET EPA/PLAY	-0.192
-0.045	OFF EPA/PLAY	-0.109
-0.082	DEF EPA/PLAY	+0.083
418	POINTS FOR	350
407	POINTS AGAINST	468
59.0%	PASS RATE	61.6%
72.0%	RED ZONE TD%	68.4%
14.3%	4TH DOWN GO%	21.1%

HOUANALYTICS →DALANALYTICS →

BETTING LINE

FIELD	VALUE		NOTES
SPREAD	-7.5		Market line
LIVE ML	—		Last observed market ML

GAME TOTAL

PREDICTED TOTAL

45.4

ALL GAME TOTALS →

SITUATIONAL TRENDS

HOU

road_favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)

DAL

home_underdog 2-5 ATS (29%)

GAME WEATHER

VENUE

DOME

CLIMATE CONTROLLED

WIN PROBABILITY

KEY PLAYERS

HOU

J.Mixon

RB

240.5PPR

C.Stroud

QB

220.4PPR

N.Collins

WR

210.6PPR

DAL

C.Lamb

WR

263.4PPR

R.Dowdle

RB

197.8PPR

J.Tolbert

WR

152.0PPR

INJURY REPORTWEEK 11

HOU5 LISTED

Folorunso Fatukasi

DT · Foot

OUT

Will Anderson

DE · Ankle

OUT

Blake Fisher

T · Concussion

OUT

Jeff Okudah

CB · Quadricep

QUESTIONABLE

Kamari Lassiter

CB · Concussion

QUESTIONABLE

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS

GAME	SCORE
HOU@DALW14 2022	HOU 23, DAL 27

FULL COMPARISON →

HOU ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

DAL ANALYTICS

EPA, coaching, picks

COMPARE

WEEK 11 · OTHER GAMES

SEA@SF

20-17

LV@MIA

19-34

WAS@PHI

18-26

CLE@NO

14-35

KC@BUF

21-30

BAL@PIT

16-18

LA@NE

28-22

← WEEK 11 PICKS FULL RESULTS LEDGER →

HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR

DAL8 LISTED

Hunter Luepke

FB · Calf

DOUBTFUL

Dak Prescott

QB · Hamstring

OUT

Jourdan Lewis

CB · Neck

OUT

Daron Bland

CB · Foot

OUT

Chuma Edoga

T · Toe

QUESTIONABLE

Nick Vigil

LB · Foot

QUESTIONABLE

Zack Martin

G · Shoulder

QUESTIONABLE

CeeDee Lamb

WR · Back

QUESTIONABLE

DAL SCHEME RATES

17 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

19.8%

BLITZ RATE

22.6%

MOTION

35.6%

RPO

1.7%

SCREEN

9.9%

NO HUDDLE

7.5%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.2

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

HOU SCHEME RATES

19 GAMES

PLAY ACTION

26.1%

BLITZ RATE

27.8%

MOTION

44.4%

RPO

1.6%

SCREEN

9.9%

NO HUDDLE

4.5%

AVG PASS RUSHERS

4.3

SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON

NEXT GEN STATS

EXP COMP %

73.4%

C.J. StroudHOU

TIME TO THROW

2.57s

C.J. StroudHOU

SEPARATION

5.6 yds

Brevyn Spann-FordDAL

RUSH EFFICIENCY

3.5

Joe MixonHOU

AGGRESSIVENESS

18.2%

Cooper RushDAL

AVG YAC

9.3 yds

Nico CollinsHOU

GREEN = ELITE VS LEAGUE

SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS

DAL ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

18.8%

DROP %

2.2%

PRESSURE %

20.7%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

1.8

YAC/ATT

1.5

BROKEN TACKLES

16

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

71.6%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

89.8

MISSED TACKLE %

9.0%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

HOU ADVANCED STATS

PASSING

BAD THROW %

19.7%

DROP %

3.7%

PRESSURE %

22.6%

RUSHING

YBC/ATT

2.9

YAC/ATT

1.5

BROKEN TACKLES

35

DEFENSE

COMP% ALLOWED

61.9%

PASSER RTG ALLOWED

80.5

MISSED TACKLE %

14.2%

SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON

HOU @ DAL – Week 11 2024