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KC @ BUF · Week 11 2024 · NoPunt
2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
KC @ BUF – Week 11 2024
KC
BUF
KC
AWAY
21
@
30
BUF +9
FINAL · WEEK 11
2024 SEASON
BUF
HOME
PRO PICK
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TEAM COMPARISON
KC
METRIC
BUF
+0.037
NET EPA/PLAY
+0.181
+0.062
OFF EPA/PLAY
+0.190
+0.025
DEF EPA/PLAY
+0.009
462
POINTS FOR
612
409
POINTS AGAINST
432
60.1%
PASS RATE
51.8%
86.4%
RED ZONE TD%
95.5%
16.2%
4TH DOWN GO%
24.6%
KCANALYTICS →
BUFANALYTICS →
BETTING LINE
FIELD
VALUE
NOTES
SPREAD
+2.5
Market line
LIVE ML
—
Last observed market ML
GAME TOTAL
PREDICTED TOTAL
46.9
ALL GAME TOTALS →
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
KC
divisional 0-6 ATS (0%)
BUF
road_favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
50°F
WIND
3 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
BUF
KC
KICKOFF
KEY PLAYERS
KC
P.Mahomes
QB
283.0
PPR
T.Kelce
TE
195.4
PPR
X.Worthy
WR
187.2
PPR
BUF
J.Allen
QB
372.3
PPR
J.Cook
RB
266.7
PPR
K.Shakir
WR
182.5
PPR
INJURY REPORT
WEEK 11
KC
2 LISTED
Charles Omenihu
DE · Knee
OUT
Isiah Pacheco
RB · Ankle
OUT
BUF
5 LISTED
Matt Milano
LB · Biceps
OUT
Dalton Kincaid
TE · Knee
OUT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
LAST 5 MEETINGS
GAME
SCORE
KC
@
BUF
W9 2025
KC 21, BUF 28
BUF
@
KC
W14 2023
BUF 20, KC 17
BUF
@
KC
W6 2022
BUF 24, KC 20
BUF
@
KC
W5 2021
BUF 38, KC 20
KC
@
BUF
W6 2020
KC 26, BUF 17
FULL COMPARISON →
KC ANALYTICS
EPA, coaching, picks
BUF ANALYTICS
EPA, coaching, picks
VS
COMPARE
WEEK 11 · OTHER GAMES
SEA
@
SF
20-17
LV
@
MIA
19-34
WAS
@
PHI
18-26
CLE
@
NO
14-35
BAL
@
PIT
16-18
LA
@
NE
28-22
MIN
@
TEN
23-13
← WEEK 11 PICKS
FULL RESULTS LEDGER →
BUF 100%
HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR
KC ROSTER →
BUF ROSTER →
Keon Coleman
WR · Wrist
OUT
Amari Cooper
WR · Wrist
QUESTIONABLE
Spencer Brown
T · Ankle
QUESTIONABLE
GB
@
CHI
20-19
IND
@
NYJ
28-27
CIN
@
LAC
27-34
HOU
@
DAL
34-10
ATL
@
DEN
6-38
JAX
@
DET
6-52
KC ADVANCED STATS
PASSING
BAD THROW %
14.0%
DROP %
4.0%
PRESSURE %
23.8%
RUSHING
YBC/ATT
2.7
YAC/ATT
1.4
BROKEN TACKLES
22
DEFENSE
COMP% ALLOWED
70.6%
PASSER RTG ALLOWED
88.3
MISSED TACKLE %
8.1%
SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON
NEXT GEN STATS
EXP COMP %
66.3%
Josh Allen
BUF
TIME TO THROW
2.76s
Josh Allen
BUF
SEPARATION
5.3 yds
Curtis Samuel
BUF
RUSH EFFICIENCY
3.2
Kareem Hunt
KC
AGGRESSIVENESS
18.2%
Patrick Mahomes
KC
AVG YAC
7.1 yds
Xavier Worthy
KC
GREEN
= ELITE VS LEAGUE
SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS
KC SCHEME RATES
20 GAMES
PLAY ACTION
24.3%
BLITZ RATE
23.8%
MOTION
47.5%
RPO
4.7%
SCREEN
BUF SCHEME RATES
20 GAMES
PLAY ACTION
22.4%
BLITZ RATE
28.2%
MOTION
41.8%
RPO
4.7%
SCREEN
12.5%
NO HUDDLE
1.5%
AVG PASS RUSHERS
4.2
SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON
12.6%
NO HUDDLE
6.2%
AVG PASS RUSHERS
4.3
SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON
BUF ADVANCED STATS
PASSING
BAD THROW %
16.3%
DROP %
3.6%
PRESSURE %
13.6%
RUSHING
YBC/ATT
2.2
YAC/ATT
1.8
BROKEN TACKLES
39
DEFENSE
COMP% ALLOWED
69.7%
PASSER RTG ALLOWED
88.1
MISSED TACKLE %
9.5%
SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON