BUF @ KC – Week 14 2023

KC B-tier pick misses. BUF takes it.

Model picked KC but BUF won. Projected margin was 1.3 -- the model overestimated by 4.3 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 5.0 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.