2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
IND @ CIN – Week 14 2023
IND
CIN
IND
AWAY
14@34
CIN +20
FINAL · WEEK 14
2023 SEASON
CIN
HOME
TIER C
PICK: CIN
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: CIN 61%Projected margin: 1.6
CIN
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
1.6
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CIN C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked CIN. Projected margin: 1.6. Actual: 20. Off by 18.4 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 17.0 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | CIN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -148 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
IND
Home Underdog 2-4 ATS (33%)
CIN
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
40°F
WIND
9 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
IND
Michael Pittman
WR
252.2SEASON PPR
Gardner Minshew
QB
196.2SEASON PPR
Zack Moss
RB
169.6SEASON PPR
CIN
Joe Mixon
RB
267.0SEASON PPR
Ja'Marr Chase
WR
262.7SEASON PPR
Joe Burrow
QB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 14
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN@INDW6 2020 | CIN 27, IND 31 | IND | W |
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES