2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CIN @ IND – Week 6 2020
CIN
IND
CIN
AWAY
27@31
IND +4
FINAL · WEEK 6
2020 SEASON
IND
HOME
TIER B
PICK: IND
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: IND 65%Projected margin: 6.0
IND
PICK SIDE
-7.5
SPREAD
6.0
PROJ MARGIN
-294
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
IND B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected IND by 6.0. Actual: 4 points. The model was within 2.0 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 3.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.5 | IND market line | |
| MODEL ML | -294 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -340 | Won · +$0.34 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CIN
No noteworthy trends
IND
Road Favorite 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
CIN
Tee Higgins
WR
194.6SEASON PPR
Tyler Boyd
WR
192.6SEASON PPR
Joe Burrow
QB
173.7SEASON PPR
IND
Jonathan Taylor
RB
252.8SEASON PPR
Philip Rivers
QB
240.0SEASON PPR
Nyheim Hines
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND@CINW14 2023 | IND 14, CIN 34 | CIN | W |
WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES