2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
GB @ NYG – Week 14 2023
GB
NYG
GB
AWAY
22@24
NYG +2
FINAL · WEEK 14
2023 SEASON
NYG
HOME
TIER B
PICK: GB
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: GB 69%Projected margin: -5.6
GB
PICK SIDE
-6.0
SPREAD
-5.6
PROJ MARGIN
-237
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
GB B-tier pick misses. NYG takes it.
MISSED
Model picked GB but NYG won. Projected margin was 5.6 -- the model overestimated by 7.6 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 8.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.0 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -237 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -265 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
GB
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
NYG
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
39°F
WIND
14 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
GB
Jordan Love
QB
319.1SEASON PPR
Jayden Reed
WR
217.2SEASON PPR
Romeo Doubs
WR
174.4SEASON PPR
NYG
Saquon Barkley
RB
223.2SEASON PPR
Darius Slayton
WR
151.0SEASON PPR
Wan'Dale Robinson
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 14
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@NYGW11 2025 | GB 27, NYG 20 | GB | W |
| NYG@GBW5 2022 | NYG 27, GB 22 | GB | L |
WEEK 14 · OTHER GAMES