2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYG @ GB – Week 5 2022
NYG
GB
NYG
AWAY
27@22
NYG +5
FINAL · WEEK 5
2022 SEASON
GB
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: GB
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: GB 77%Projected margin: 8.9
GB
PICK SIDE
-8.5
SPREAD
8.9
PROJ MARGIN
-340
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
GB A+-tier pick misses. NYG takes it.
MISSED
Model picked GB but NYG won. Projected margin was 8.9 -- the model overestimated by 13.9 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 13.5 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -8.5 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -340 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -397 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYG
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GB
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
NYG
Daniel Jones
QB
289.0SEASON PPR
Saquon Barkley
RB
284.0SEASON PPR
Richie James
WR
138.5SEASON PPR
GB
Aaron Jones
RB
248.6SEASON PPR
Aaron Rodgers
QB
239.2SEASON PPR
Allen Lazard
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 5
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@NYGW11 2025 | GB 27, NYG 20 | GB | W |
| GB@NYGW14 2023 | GB 22, NYG 24 | GB | L |
WEEK 5 · OTHER GAMES