2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DAL @ LA – Week 5 2022
DAL
LA
DAL
AWAY
22@10
DAL +12
FINAL · WEEK 5
2022 SEASON
LA
HOME
TIER B
PICK: DAL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DAL 61%Projected margin: -1.7
DAL
PICK SIDE
+5.5
SPREAD
-1.7
PROJ MARGIN
+221
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DAL B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DAL. Projected margin: 1.7. Actual: 12. Off by 10.3 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 17.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +5.5 | DAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | +221 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +195 | Won · +$2.21 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DAL
Road Favorite 1-3 ATS (25%)
LA
Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
DAL
CeeDee Lamb
WR
301.6SEASON PPR
Tony Pollard
RB
248.8SEASON PPR
Dak Prescott
QB
198.6SEASON PPR
LA
Cooper Kupp
WR
201.4SEASON PPR
Tyler Higbee
TE
152.0SEASON PPR
Cam Akers
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 5
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA@DALW8 2023 | LA 20, DAL 43 | DAL | W |
| DAL@LAW1 2020 | DAL 17, LA 20 | LA | W |
WEEK 5 · OTHER GAMES